Extreme value inference for heterogeneous power law data

Open Access
Authors
Publication date 06-2023
Journal Annals of Statistics
Volume | Issue number 51 | 3
Pages (from-to) 1331-1356
Organisations
  • Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB) - Amsterdam School of Economics Research Institute (ASE-RI)
Abstract
We extend extreme value statistics to independent data with possibly very different distributions. In particular, we present novel asymptotic normality results for the Hill estimator, which now estimates the extreme value index of the average distribution. Due to the heterogeneity, the asymptotic variance can be substantially smaller than that in the i.i.d. case. As a special case, we consider a heterogeneous scales model where the asymptotic variance can be calculated explicitly. The primary tool for the proofs is the functional central limit theorem for a weighted tail empirical process. We also present asymptotic normality results for the extreme quantile estimator. A simulation study shows the good finite-sample behavior of our limit theorems. We also present applications to assess the tail heaviness of earthquake energies and of cross-sectional stock market losses.
Document type Article
Note With supplementary file
Language English
Published at https://doi.org/10.1214/23-AOS2294
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23-AOS2294 (Final published version)
Supplementary materials
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