Evolutionary dynamics in financial markets with many trader types

Authors
Publication date 2001
Series CeNDEF Working Paper, 01-01
Number of pages 45
Publisher Amsterdam: Universiteit van Amsterdam
Organisations
  • Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB) - Amsterdam School of Economics Research Institute (ASE-RI)
Abstract
This paper develops the notion of a Large Type Limit (LTL) describing the average behavior of adaptive evolutionary systems with many trader types. It is shown that generic and persistent features of adaptive evolutionary systems with many trader types are well described by the large type limit. Stability and bifurcation routes to instability and strange attractors are studied. An increase in the ``intensity of adaption'' or in the diversity of beliefs may lead to deviations from the RE fundamental benchmark and excess volatility. Simple examples of LTL are able to generate important stylized facts, such as volatility clustering andlong memory, observed in real financial data.
Document type Working paper
Published at http://www1.fee.uva.nl/cendef/publications/papers/ltlapril2001.pdf
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