Nonparametric regression with serially correlated errors

Authors
Publication date 1999
Series Tinbeergen Institute Discussion Paper, TI 1999-063/4
Number of pages 23
Publisher Amsterdam / Rotterdam: Tinbergen Institute
Organisations
  • Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB) - Amsterdam School of Economics Research Institute (ASE-RI)
Abstract
Motivated by the problem of setting prediction intervals in time seriesanalysis, this investigation is concerned with recovering a regression functionm(X_t) on the basis of noisy observations taking at random design pointsX_t.It is presumed that the corresponding observations are corrupted by additiveserially correlated noise and that the noise is, in fact, induced by a generallinear process. The main result of this study is that, under some reasonableconditions, the nonparametric kernel estimator of m(x)(/i) is asymptoticallynormally distributed. Using this result, we construct confidence bands form(x).Simulations will be conducted to assess the performance of these bands infinite-sample situations
Document type Working paper
Language English
Published at http://papers.tinbergen.nl/99063.pdf
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