Information and strategic voting

Authors
Publication date 2011
Series Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper, TI2011-025/1
Number of pages 36
Publisher Amsterdam/Rotterdam: Tinbergen Institute
Organisations
  • Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB) - Amsterdam School of Economics Research Institute (ASE-RI)
Abstract
We theoretically and experimentally study voter behavior in a setting characterized by plurality rule and mandatory voting, where voters choose from three options. We are interested in the occurrence of strategic voting in an environment where Condorcet cycles may occur. In particular, we focus on how information about the distribution of preferences affects strategic behavior. We also vary the relative importance of the second preferred option to investigate how this affects the strategic vote. Quantal response equilibrium analysis is used to analyze the game and proves to be a good predictor for the experimental data. Our results indeed show that strategic voting arises, the extent of which depends on (i) the availability of information; (ii) the relative importance of the intermediate candidate; (iii) the electorate’s relative support for one’s preferred candidate; and (iv) the relative position of the
plurality-supported candidate in a voter’s preference ordering. Our results show that information serves as a coordination device where strategic voting does not harm the plurality-preferred candidate’s chances of winning.
Document type Working paper
Note This Version: November 10, 2010
Language English
Published at http://www.tinbergen.nl/discussionpapers/11025.pdf
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