Electoral Competition under the Threat of Political Unrest

Authors
Publication date 2000
Journal The Quarterly Journal of Economics
Volume | Issue number 115 | 2
Pages (from-to) 499-531
Number of pages 32
Organisations
  • Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB) - Amsterdam School of Economics Research Institute (ASE-RI)
Abstract We study elections in which one party (the strong party) controls a source of political unrest; e.g., this party could instigate riots if it lost the election. We show that the strong party is more likely to win the election when there is less information about its ability to cause unrest. This is because when the weak party is better informed, it can more reliably prevent political unrest by implementing a "centrist" policy. When there is uncertainty over the credibility of the threat, "posturing" by the strong party leads to platform divergence.
Document type Article
Published at https://doi.org/10.1162/003355300554836
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